Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 904.972691 1027.410548 1165.103896 1332.362622 1531.296836 1761.903368 2051.733927
2025-03-30 696.469941 847.952111 1034.490841 1284.622607 1616.733446 2050.603179 2674.107670
2025-04-06 586.811459 745.297726 951.663281 1246.342155 1667.068958 2263.755972 3208.217954
2025-04-13 507.167608 664.983864 879.402555 1200.969614 1687.552548 2425.975333 3695.445479
2025-04-20 471.914294 637.715878 872.340434 1241.469957 1833.403022 2796.336234 4603.654685
2025-04-27 436.440077 604.682730 850.987320 1254.590438 1935.256095 3113.234257 5510.468352
2025-05-04 407.906272 577.905899 834.521542 1270.994302 2042.550413 3459.201862 6581.829972
2025-05-11 382.442287 552.669903 816.760831 1281.397510 2139.191096 3804.629791 7772.631894
2025-05-18 367.550206 541.983656 820.311530 1327.541467 2308.044947 4330.435059 9587.326124
2025-05-25 350.588460 526.147562 813.261423 1353.137096 2441.062523 4814.116656 11518.343664
2025-06-01 331.817369 505.545599 795.769782 1356.605773 2529.193721 5219.652095 13435.427523
2025-06-08 314.050682 485.044754 776.272163 1353.339812 2601.970400 5607.766086 15511.913747
2025-06-15 301.379975 472.803278 771.330667 1380.396973 2752.777020 6253.314591 18935.361624
2025-06-22 279.787338 443.555360 733.064019 1335.601325 2731.790078 6441.034233 20837.900228
2025-06-29 260.978397 417.775073 698.855352 1294.862094 2712.995958 6630.953629 22909.022198
2025-07-06 243.115061 392.446838 663.391858 1247.302333 2669.357999 6737.559500 24724.435698
2025-07-13 237.560487 388.890551 669.088360 1289.798461 2863.137330 7647.365060 31321.650047
2025-07-20 229.140436 379.421814 662.348391 1303.571938 2984.457007 8370.809676 37853.058832
2025-07-27 221.712242 371.248453 657.409919 1320.793989 3119.411283 9200.883358 46267.045938
2025-08-03 214.184132 362.350210 650.202884 1331.717657 3239.248672 10031.170099 56147.363546
2025-08-10 210.663401 360.860864 658.069789 1380.184127 3483.054635 11479.937435 74207.986025
2025-08-17 205.350297 355.497251 657.295706 1407.077755 3667.382319 12784.003964 94727.551882
2025-08-24 198.406152 346.457970 647.896750 1410.722861 3777.995221 13819.140995 115824.938420